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The first half of 2025 has been characterized by a dramatic regime shift in economic policy following President Trump’s inauguration for his second term....
President Trump’s re-election as the 47th President of the United States, accompanied by a Republican majority in Congress, signals significant shifts for the U.S. economy, financial markets, and Canada’s cross-border relationship....
Since the last newsletter, we have seen a recovery in stocks, which are now holding near record highs in North America, while expectations of the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy are reducing and yields are trending higher....
A stubborn CPI report continues to erode rate cut expectations by the Fed for 2024 while the Bank of Canada holds rates steady for a sixth consecutive meeting while laying the groundwork for a rate cut in June or July....
There is growing divergences between the Canadian and US economies with the US economy being surprisingly resilient versus a struggling Canadian economy....
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