Market Outlook - September 2025

As we enter the final quarter of 2025, the outlook for equities remains constructive. Several major firms have raised their S&P 500 targets, with Goldman Sachs now at 6,800 and others suggesting bullish scenarios as high as 7,100–7,200. These upgrades reflect resilient corporate earnings, expectations for rate cuts, and a U.S. economy expanding at roughly 3.8% GDP growth. Despite the negative tone often carried in the media, the data suggest momentum is intact and the U.S. market is positioned to resume leadership into year-end.

For Canadian investors, the TSX should also participate in the rally. Sector leadership in Industrials, Utilities, and Materials highlights that Canada’s market continues to benefit from both cyclical growth and defensive yield characteristics. With the index already surpassing our annual target of 28,500, the stage is set for Canadian equities to ride alongside U.S. strength, providing both growth potential and income stability.

That said, the path ahead may not be without bumps. The timing of rate cuts, inflation surprises, or geopolitical risks could spark volatility. Our outlook remains cautiously optimistic—constructive on the opportunity for markets to push higher, while focused on risk management. At MSB Wealth, our role is clear: to capture upside while smoothing the ride, ensuring portfolios remain resilient through both rallies and market tests.

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