Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Riding Herd on a Budget Deal

The Through Line: As U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson tried to herd the cats toward passage of a budget reconciliation deal, bond vigilantes kept a close eye on the details. The U.S. budget deficit run rate – and the accumulated total debt......

Read more

Investment Strategy - April 2025

Still slightly overweight Canada – Now underweight U.S. and market weight Europe and Emerging MarketsIt is becoming clearer that Trump’s tariffs and trade wars are less a means to an end than an end in themselves. The implications are profound. The...

Read more

Global Markets Commentary: The great rotation

Worried headlines were the order of the day during the first quarter of 2025. Words and deeds of the new U.S. administration produced many heavy hearts and unpleasant surprises......

Read more

Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Global Policy Pivots – Transitory or Enduring?

The Through Line: While meant for moving objects, Newton’s first law applies to trends as well – and President Donald Trump clearly qualifies as the outside force prompting pivots in a wide swath of global trade, security and political alliances......

Read more

Stock market selloff – tariffs and then some

Equity markets in both the U.S. and Canada are being rattled by a combination of tariffs and, at least in the case of the U.S., convergent factors including DOGE cuts and softening economic data......

Read more

Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Breathe

The Through Line: Our natural wiring prompts us toward a desire for instant (and all-too-often hyper emotional) reaction to breaking news......

Read more

Global Markets Commentary: Tariff Tantrum

On March 3, U.S. President Donald Trump followed through with the implementation of a slate of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, marking the start of a North American trade war. Canada fired back with retaliatory tariffs......

Read more

Weekly Strategy Perspectives: When the only way out is through

The Through Line: The old adage that suggests “when one door closes, another opens” is really only half the story. Significant transformation is rarely as easy as moving seamlessly from one chapter to the next - more often, we must traverse......

Read more

Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Nauseously Optimistic

The Through Line: Companies have navigated a mind-numbing blitz of challenges over the last decade, learning to dodge and weave adeptly......

Read more

Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Tuning into the 10-Year

The Through Line: Equity markets are often the first place investors look for hints as to how a breaking news item will be perceived. Yet bond markets can serve as a more insightful gauge to measure an event’s potential......

Read more

Commentary from Our Chief Economist

 

 Doug PorterDouglas Porter
 
Chief Economist, BMO Capital Markets


Douglas Porter has over 30 years of experience analyzing global economies and financial markets. As Chief Economist at BMO Financial Group, he oversees the macroeconomic and financial market forecasts and co-authors the firm’s weekly flagship publication, Focus. As a respected commentator on economic and financial trends, he is regularly quoted in the national press and often interviewed on radio and television. 

For Doug’s latest views on the economy, read his commentary Talking Points