Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Global Policy Pivots – Transitory or Enduring?

The Through Line: While meant for moving objects, Newton’s first law applies to trends as well – and President Donald Trump clearly qualifies as the outside force prompting pivots in a wide swath of global trade, security and political alliances......

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Investment Strategy - March 2025

As we publish this report, some U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico have been postponed (again) until April 2. The nascent U.S.-instigated trade war is clearly negative for the entire North American economy as it increases inflation and lowers......

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Investment Strategy - March 2025

As we publish this report, some U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico have been postponed (again) until April 2. The nascent U.S.-instigated trade war is clearly negative for the entire North American economy as it increases inflation and lowers......

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Stock market selloff – tariffs and then some

Equity markets in both the U.S. and Canada are being rattled by a combination of tariffs and, at least in the case of the U.S., convergent factors including DOGE cuts and softening economic data......

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Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Breathe

The Through Line: Our natural wiring prompts us toward a desire for instant (and all-too-often hyper emotional) reaction to breaking news......

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Global Markets Commentary: Tariff Tantrum

On March 3, U.S. President Donald Trump followed through with the implementation of a slate of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, marking the start of a North American trade war. Canada fired back with retaliatory tariffs......

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Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Tuning into the 10-Year

The Through Line: Equity markets are often the first place investors look for hints as to how a breaking news item will be perceived. Yet bond markets can serve as a more insightful gauge to measure an event’s potential......

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Investment Strategy - February 2025

Lost in all the tariff talk is a potential seismic shift in AI power dynamics. China’s DeepSeek produced an OpenAI competitor, DeepSeek-R1, at a fraction of the price......

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Investment Strategy - February 2025

Lost in all the tariff talk is a potential seismic shift in AI power dynamics. China’s DeepSeek produced an OpenAI competitor, DeepSeek-R1, at a fraction of the price......

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Commentary from Our Chief Economist

 

 Doug PorterDouglas Porter
 
Chief Economist, BMO Capital Markets


Douglas Porter has over 30 years of experience analyzing global economies and financial markets. As Chief Economist at BMO Financial Group, he oversees the macroeconomic and financial market forecasts and co-authors the firm’s weekly flagship publication, Focus. As a respected commentator on economic and financial trends, he is regularly quoted in the national press and often interviewed on radio and television. 

For Doug’s latest views on the economy, read his commentary Talking Points