Gold is Trying to Shine Again

Igor Manukhov - Mar 08, 2024
Gold price is breaking out. In my opinion, the real confirmation will be when it starts to outperform stocks. I would watch carefully.
With all the publicity that the stock market has been getting lately, gold prices quietly broke out from their previous high level (the black line on the bottom panel of our chart has intersected the horizontal blue line). However, the missing ingredient for gold is relative strength. Over the last few years, gold failed to gain sustainable relative strength against both the Canadian and US stock market. Notice how the red line (relative strength against TSX) and the green line (relative strength against S&P500) have remained relatively flat over the last year. Albeit there is a slight uptick in both relative strength lines.
 
Maybe 2024 will be the year when gold will earn a spot in our portfolio. Time will tell. What I am looking for is a combination of absolute price strength (which we currently have) and improved relative strength (yet to be determined).