Knowledge Centre

The long-promised U.S. recession is not even close to materializing. Case in point, and as noted by the excellent BMO Economics team, “Q4 GDP data showed yet another year of solid activity, while price pressures eased (which strengthens the case for...

The clouds hovering over much of the global macroeconomic landscape appear to be clearing, suggesting a return to normal could lie ahead. But when it comes to investing, normal always brings a “normal” level of uncertainty. ...

Between rising geopolitical tensions in Europe and Asia, the growing threat of climate change and the coming elections that will see almost half of the global population heading to the polls, it’s understandable that some investors are on edge....

We are already seeing some optimistic signals. First, far from deteriorating, our recession probability model has shown improvement with the odds of a recession ticking down to about 40%....

When we look back on 2023, the tragedies in Ukraine and the Middle East will sadly stand out in our memories. For capital markets, banks at all levels (regional, global and central) drove a volatile year....

We think the market can power higher through year-end and beyond. That, in a nutshell, has been our call for the last few months, despite the pervasive negativity surrounding the geopolitical environment as well as the interest rate and economic outl...

Looking back on 2023, we can see progress in tackling major issues that loomed over the global economy and capital markets. The world enters 2024 faced with some unfinished business that will be a priority in the year ahead....

Violence, political upheaval, and interest rate increases. Sadly, those factors have come to define much of 2023. Not surprisingly, investors are in a sour mood and much of the market has been under pressure....

October marked the third consecutive month of equity market declines, and certainly the month was marred by horrific developments in Israel and Gaza. Those are adding to the ongoing tragedy in the Ukraine. But it was really too hot economic growth in...

October marked a third consecutive month of equity market declines. The month began with horrific developments in Israel and Gaza, which added to the ongoing tragedy in Ukraine and other fraught geopolitical situations....