Knowledge Centre

Despite trade uncertainty due to U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports, the Canadian economy has held up better than we would have expected.......

The Through Line: In what would normally be a quiet march toward a late summer holiday weekend, the (headline) hits just keep coming. Questions abound re Fed independence and data reliability; deployment of troops to U.S. cities and the South......

The Through Line: The U.S. dollar has underperformed many of its currency peers this year – most visibly during times of interim market stress. This unusual occurrence has led some to question the greenback’s traditional role as a safe-haven port......

The Through Line: For months, the disconnect between sturdy economic data and steadily weakening sentiment readings has perplexed those trying to decode the market’s long-term path......

Worried headlines were the order of the day during the first quarter of 2025. Words and deeds of the new U.S. administration produced many heavy hearts and unpleasant surprises......

The Through Line: While meant for moving objects, Newton’s first law applies to trends as well – and President Donald Trump clearly qualifies as the outside force prompting pivots in a wide swath of global trade, security and political alliances......

As we publish this report, some U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico have been postponed (again) until April 2. The nascent U.S.-instigated trade war is clearly negative for the entire North American economy as it increases inflation and lowers......

The Through Line: Our natural wiring prompts us toward a desire for instant (and all-too-often hyper emotional) reaction to breaking news......

On March 3, U.S. President Donald Trump followed through with the implementation of a slate of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, marking the start of a North American trade war. Canada fired back with retaliatory tariffs......

The Through Line: Equity markets are often the first place investors look for hints as to how a breaking news item will be perceived. Yet bond markets can serve as a more insightful gauge to measure an event’s potential......